Décrypter le cycle des capitaux spéculatifs : des cryptos à l'or, jusqu'aux semi-conducteurs

Markets are cyclical. It's one of the few statements about price behavior that is hard to dispute. But the speed and shape of the current rotation between major asset classes are unusual enough to warrant close attention. Market analyst James Van Straten describes a striking sequence: bitcoin climbing from roughly fifteen thousand dollars to more than one hundred twenty-six thousand between late 2022 and late 2025, gold delivering a delayed but parallel rise from two thousand to over five thousand dollars an ounce by early 2026, and then capital shifting abruptly toward AI infrastructure and memory chip stocks.

La vitesse de la rotation actuelle

The numbers attached to this latest phase are extreme. Memory semiconductor producer Micron went from a valuation of seventy billion dollars about a year ago to a market capitalization exceeding one trillion dollars. NVIDIA reached new highs near two hundred twenty-five dollars per share. These are not gradual revaluations — they are the kind of vertical moves that historically mark the late stages of a thematic mania, even when the underlying fundamentals are real.

What makes the current cycle particularly interesting is its compression. In previous decades, the rotation between major themes — commodities, internet stocks, real estate, emerging markets — took years. The crypto-gold-AI-memory rotation unfolded over roughly thirty months. Faster information flow, larger pools of mobile capital, and the rise of platforms like Soleil Capitence that allow retail traders to move from one asset class to another in seconds have all contributed to this compression. The result is a market that produces narrative-driven peaks more frequently and resolves them more violently.

Ce qui vient après les puces mémoire

Van Straten suggests that the next stage of speculative capital could shift toward a wave of mega-IPOs, with SpaceX, OpenAI, and other private-market giants positioned for what may be record-breaking public offerings. If this trajectory holds, the capital that chased memory chip volatility could be redirected toward newly listed AI-related stocks, potentially leaving crypto assets and chips undervalued in the short term.